YTD: 6-3
Units: +3.4
Play:
You, Me, and Dupree under 21 million (+110) <1/1.1> WSEX
Small play this week as the books did a nice job of setting the lines for both You, Me, and Dupree and Little Man. I see no clear advantage with either one, but I see some value with You, Me, and Dupree. Owen Wilson is the big star in this one, with Matt Dillion and Kate Hudson providing some supporting starpower. This is Owen Wilson's big chance to essentially open a movie on his own, without a star named Vince Vaughn or Ben Stiller attached as well. His last chance to do this bombed horribly, as The Big Bounce went on to gross only 3.34 million in 2,304 theaters (a terrible 1,448 per theater average). While this movie does look funny, it has to compete with Little Man for the same audience which will harm the box office potential for both movies. Also, Dead Man's Chest will still be the dominant movie this weekend so neither You, Me, and Dupree nor Little Man will have a big opening. With You, Me and Dupree getting a sizeable opening at 3,132 theaters and Little Man getting a smaller 2,533 theaters that will give it one advantage. However, Little Man is PG-13 while You, Me, and Dupree is slapped with an R-rating, which will allow the younger kids to go see Little Man, giving it a boost with the targeted audience. Either way, I don't see either one having a opening over 20 million since both are targeting the same audience. Good luck all!
Units: +3.4
Play:
You, Me, and Dupree under 21 million (+110) <1/1.1> WSEX
Small play this week as the books did a nice job of setting the lines for both You, Me, and Dupree and Little Man. I see no clear advantage with either one, but I see some value with You, Me, and Dupree. Owen Wilson is the big star in this one, with Matt Dillion and Kate Hudson providing some supporting starpower. This is Owen Wilson's big chance to essentially open a movie on his own, without a star named Vince Vaughn or Ben Stiller attached as well. His last chance to do this bombed horribly, as The Big Bounce went on to gross only 3.34 million in 2,304 theaters (a terrible 1,448 per theater average). While this movie does look funny, it has to compete with Little Man for the same audience which will harm the box office potential for both movies. Also, Dead Man's Chest will still be the dominant movie this weekend so neither You, Me, and Dupree nor Little Man will have a big opening. With You, Me and Dupree getting a sizeable opening at 3,132 theaters and Little Man getting a smaller 2,533 theaters that will give it one advantage. However, Little Man is PG-13 while You, Me, and Dupree is slapped with an R-rating, which will allow the younger kids to go see Little Man, giving it a boost with the targeted audience. Either way, I don't see either one having a opening over 20 million since both are targeting the same audience. Good luck all!